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USD vs RMB Outlook for 2026: A Controlled Shift, Not a Currency Shock
(Más abajo encontrará la versión en español) As we start the year and look ahead to 2026, the USD vs RMB question keeps coming up—especially among importers, exporters, manufacturers, and companies managing cross-border cash flows with China. The short answer from the market is fairly consistent: Most forecasters expect a modest strengthening of the Chinese renminbi (RMB) against the U.S. dollar in 2026. That means USD/CNY is gradually drifting lower , potentially dipping bel
Juan Luis Osorio
Jan 66 min read


USD vs EUR Outlook for 2026: Where the Market Is Leaning (and What Could Break the Script)
(Más abajo incluimos la versión en español) By the end of every year, there’s a familiar question that comes back to the top of the list: where is the dollar going next? For many businesses—importers, exporters, e-commerce operators, and anyone with costs or revenue in more than one currency—the USD/EUR direction matters a lot more than it sounds on paper. Going into 2026, the broad market story is fairly consistent: Most forecasters expect a softer U.S. dollar and a stronge
Juan Luis Osorio
Jan 59 min read


2025 Tariffs and China’s Economic Environment: What SME importers learned and how to prepare for 2026
For SMEs importing from China, 2025 was not a “crisis year” but a stress test . Tariffs didn’t disappear. China didn’t slow down as much as expected. Logistics didn’t break—but they never felt fully stable either. And while many importers survived the year reasonably well, most ended it with the same feeling: “This is workable—but only if we manage it better.” This end-of-year reflection is not about explaining how tariffs work or how China manufactures. You already know tha
Juan Luis Osorio
Dec 31, 20256 min read


Chile–China Trade at a Turning Point (2024–2025)
If you export from Chile to China, 2025 probably felt like a paradox. Volumes were there. Demand didn’t disappear. China kept buying. And yet, margins tightened, payments felt slower, logistics were more stressful, and concentration risk became impossible to ignore. This is not a post about how your business works. You already know that better than anyone. Instead, this is a step back —a look at adjacent levers that Chilean SMEs often underuse: FX structure, payment architec
Juan Luis Osorio
Dec 31, 20254 min read


Impact of the U.S.–China Trade Talks on Imports: Should U.S. Importers Expect Lower Tariffs?
This week (October 27, 2025) marked a pivotal turn in U.S.–China trade relations when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met and announced a series of major concessions and commitments. At first glance it seems like great news for U.S. importers: tariffs are being cut, Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans are resuming, and China has delayed export controls on rare‐earths. But if you dig a little deeper, the picture becomes more nuanced. Let’s break down what happened, what it really m
Juan Luis Osorio
Oct 31, 20253 min read


Understanding Beijing's New Five-Year Plan (2026-2030)
Beijing's new five-year plan, covering the period 2026-2030, marks a strategic milestone for the Chinese economy—and by extension, for businesses worldwide that interact with China. Although the final text has not yet been published, we already know that formulation officially began in December 2023. It is relevant because it defines the industrial, technological, consumer, and international openness direction of the world's second-largest economy—and that has direct implicat
Juan Luis Osorio
Oct 30, 20255 min read


Understanding the SWIFT System: How Global Payments Work—and Why Change Is Coming
If you import from China (or export to it), you’ve met SWIFT . It’s the backbone that lets banks talk to each other across borders. But SWIFT doesn’t move money; it moves messages —the instructions that tell banks what to do. That design made global trade possible… and also explains why cross-border wires can feel slow, pricey, and dated. Let’s break it down in plain English—and end with what’s changing. Alice wants to transfer $100 from her US bank account to Bob's bank acco
Juan Luis Osorio
Oct 21, 20254 min read


Navigating Tariffs, Labor, and a New Inflation Regime
If you’ve been following the financial headlines lately, you might feel a sense of whiplash. On one hand, we hear about a softening labor...
Juan Luis Osorio
Sep 22, 20254 min read


Why a Hong Kong Entity is a Game-Changer for Businesses Importing from China
If you’re a business importing goods from China, you’ve likely faced headaches like tangled logistics, unpredictable tariffs, or...
Juan Luis Osorio
Jun 21, 20253 min read


Unlock Global Growth: How Multi-Currency Accounts Simplify International Business
The world is more connected than ever. With cross-border payments growing by 5% annually and B2B transactions leading the charge,...
Juan Luis Osorio
Jun 14, 20253 min read


How to Pay Overseas Suppliers Without Breaking the Bank: A Guide for U.S. Importers
So, you’re importing $10,000 worth of products from China. Exciting! But things can get overwhelming between navigating freight logistics...
Juan Luis Osorio
Jun 3, 20253 min read


CIPS for Small Businesses: How China’s Payment System Can Cut Costs & Boost Efficiency
(A 2025 Guide for Small Businesses) Imagine paying your Chinese supplier as quickly as sending a Venmo—no hidden fees, week-long waits,...
Juan Luis Osorio
Jun 3, 20253 min read


The Ongoing Trade Tensions: Analyzing China's Response, the US Strategy, and Global Implications
(Summary of Scott Galloway's conversation with Alice Han) The trade tensions between the United States and China have been a focal point...
Juan Luis Osorio
May 18, 20255 min read


Risk Management - Blog 5/5: Legal & Compliance
For the last time, let's start by reminding ourselves of the five key risk categories that companies must consider when designing a...
Juan Luis Osorio
May 3, 20253 min read


Risk Management - Blog 4/5: Financial Risk
Watch our latest video on this topic: https://youtu.be/KW7xfCEmPlU Let's start by reminding again of the five key risk categories that...
Juan Luis Osorio
May 1, 20253 min read


Risk Management - Blog 3/5: Operational Risk
Let's start by reminding again of the five key risk categories that companies must consider when designing a framework to manage risk for...
Juan Luis Osorio
Apr 30, 20255 min read


Risk Management - Blog 2/5: Geopolitical Risk
Let's start by reminding ourselves of the five key risk categories that companies must consider when designing a framework to manage risk...
Juan Luis Osorio
Apr 28, 20253 min read


Risk Management - Blog 1/5: Cultural Risk
Cultural Risks Let's start by reminding ourselves of the five key risk categories that companies must consider when designing a framework...
Juan Luis Osorio
Apr 26, 20254 min read


U.S. Banking for Foreign Entrepreneurs: Compliance and Best Account Options
Introduction: If you’re a Chilean entrepreneur who formed a U.S. LLC to run a Shopify e-commerce business, you might be surprised at how...
Juan Luis Osorio
Apr 22, 202513 min read


The Dollar’s Uncertain Future: What Happens If the World Loses Faith in U.S. Assets?
Introduction: The Dollar’s Unsettling Moment. Imagine if everyone suddenly decided to stop trusting the U.S. dollar. Panic selling,...
Juan Luis Osorio
Apr 16, 20253 min read
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